Alençon vs Saint-Lô Manche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 1
ALE
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ALE
1 - 1
AGC
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AFV
1 - 1
ALE
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALE
4 - 2
RSP
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEH
1 - 2
ALE
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Lô Manche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SAI
1 - 2
STA
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SAI
1 - 1
EVR
47%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
OIS
3 - 0
SAI
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SAI
2 - 2
DIE
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 1
SAI
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |