Ursus Warszawa vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
UWA
1 - 0
LTM
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
OKL
0 - 0
UWA
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
UWA
0 - 0
PGM
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
UWA
0 - 2
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KFC
3 - 2
UWA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SOT
0 - 2
OKL
51%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SOT
1 - 0
MKP
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SOT
4 - 2
ZRP
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 2
LTM
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WIE
1 - 1
SOT
35%
24%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |