Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Urola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ALÑ
2 - 1
URO
44%
27%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
URO
1 - 2
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
45 | 51 | -6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
SDS
1 - 2
URO
47%
27%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
ALA
1 - 0
URO
44%
27%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
URO
2 - 2
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zorroza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ZOR
2 - 0
ACD
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 46 | -1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
ALÑ
1 - 0
ZOR
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 45 | -1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ZOR
4 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 46 | -1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
ZOR
1 - 2
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
MON
1 - 2
ZOR
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 44 | -2 | 0 |