Urawa Reds vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
URA
3 - 1
KAA
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VEG
1 - 1
URA
35%
26%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
URA
3 - 2
KAR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
URA
4 - 0
VIS
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
YFM
1 - 2
URA
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VEG
2 - 3
SAG
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAG
0 - 1
SHO
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
SAG
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KAR
1 - 1
SAG
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAG
1 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |