Urawa Reds vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
URA
4 - 0
VIS
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 2
URA
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 1
URA
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
URA
1 - 2
KAW
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAG
0 - 2
URA
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAG
3 - 1
RYK
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALB
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JUB
1 - 1
SAG
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
KAW
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAG
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |