Universitario de Deportes vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
UTC
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 1
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
UNI
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
UNI
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 0
CIE
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 0
GAL
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
GAL
0 - 2
AUR
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AYA
1 - 0
GAL
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |