Universitario FC vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 3
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
VLS
0 - 1
UNI
7%
14%
80%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
UDG
74%
15%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
DOR
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
LOM
1 - 2
UNI
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
COS
2 - 0
TER
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
UCA
1 - 0
COS
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
COT
15%
21%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
COS
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
DPV
1 - 2
COS
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |