UP de Manica vs 1º de Maio Quelimane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP de Manica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 0
UPM
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UPM
0 - 2
FER
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TEX
0 - 3
UPM
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UPM
0 - 1
FEN
44%
30%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FER
4 - 0
UPM
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
1º de Maio Quelimane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 0
DES
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 1
QUE
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 2
SCN
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MAX
1 - 1
QUE
55%
26%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
QUE
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |