Univ. San Martín vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
UNI
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
GAL
60%
25%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
RIV
5 - 0
SAM
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
SPC
3 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SBO
1 - 1
SPC
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 2
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |