Universidad Católica vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
UCE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 3
IVT
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 1
UCE
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
UCE
3 - 0
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 2
UCE
27%
26%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
MAC
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
EME
4 - 0
HUA
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 2
EME
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 3
EME
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |