Universidad Católica vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 2
UCE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 0
UCE
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
UCE
0 - 2
CUE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
UCE
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UCE
4 - 0
LDU
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
28%
25%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 2
AUC
43%
24%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
LDU
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
AUC
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |