Univ. Concepción vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 5
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
IQU
1 - 3
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COL
1 - 5
UCO
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 0
COB
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
ACS
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
USF
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 3
ACS
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ACS
3 - 2
CSL
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |