Copa Chile . Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
U. Católica vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 4
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
HUA
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
UCO
29%
24%
48%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
DEP
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UCH
0 - 0
OHI
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COL
2 - 0
UCH
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
UCH
2 - 2
IQU
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UCH
1 - 0
PAL
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCH
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |