U. Católica vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
UCO
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 1
SPC
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
DLS
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TAL
1 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
FLA
25%
24%
52%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 1
TAL
67%
19%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
FLA
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |