Unitas 30 vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
TEL
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
BVV
0 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
FOR
3 - 0
SPA
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
ZWO
3 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
4 - 1
MVV
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |