Unión San Felipe vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
USF
47%
25%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
USF
1 - 3
COQ
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
USF
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
USF
4 - 0
NTA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CDP
0 - 0
USF
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CON
4 - 1
CDP
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ANT
4 - 0
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
ULC
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
DCO
1 - 0
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CON
3 - 3
LOT
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |