Europa League . Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Union Saint-Gilloise vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
SER
85%
11%
3%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 1
UNI
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
KVM
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 0
LEV
28%
24%
49%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 1
EIN
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
S04
0 - 3
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
BYM
7%
13%
81%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |