Union Quinto vs Chioggia Sottomarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2009 |
DMG
0 - 2
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 4
SAN
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
UNI
27%
26%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
DMG
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chioggia Sottomarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2009 |
SSE
0 - 1
ACS
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
ACS
67%
20%
14%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SSE
4 - 4
ACS
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAC
4 - 2
ACS
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |