Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BJC
0 - 2
UNI
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
COR
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
REA
3 - 3
UNI
33%
27%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
COR
31%
26%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAR
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
RSC
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |