Unión Española vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1994 |
UNI
1 - 0
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1994 |
UNI
1 - 2
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
1 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
5 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 3
UNI
52%
21%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
NAC
0 - 3
FLA
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1993 |
FLA
2 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 3
CRZ
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
CRZ
1 - 2
NAC
51%
26%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |