CUC Villalba vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
15º
14º
45
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CUC Villalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
1 - 1
CVI
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
CVI
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CVI
1 - 2
POZ
29%
27%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GET
1 - 1
CVI
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CVI
2 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
4 - 1
CAN
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POZ
1 - 1
CDM
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
GET
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
CDM
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |