Unión Archena vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Archena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
UAR
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UAR
4 - 1
EEP
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 1
UAR
21%
20%
60%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UAR
1 - 0
CMU
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CEU
0 - 7
UAR
10%
16%
75%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 5
CLU
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 0
VIL
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALT
43%
21%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
6 - 0
CEU
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 3
JUM
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |