União RS vs Gaúcho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ISM
1 - 0
URS
58%
23%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AIM
0 - 0
URS
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
URS
1 - 1
RSC
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
GEB
1 - 0
URS
41%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
URS
0 - 0
NOV
26%
26%
49%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
GAU
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
GAU
0 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
PAS
1 - 0
GAU
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
LAJ
2 - 1
GAU
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GAU
2 - 3
VER
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |