URT vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 1
URT
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 1
MAM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
URT
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
DEM
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
GUA
86%
11%
3%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
CRZ
9%
20%
71%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |