União Madeira vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SMA
4 - 0
UNM
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 1
MER
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UNM
0 - 2
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 4
UNM
5%
12%
83%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
UNM
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
5 - 0
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LUS
4 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |