União Madeira vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TON
1 - 0
UNM
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 2
VST
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 0
UNM
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 2
UNM
73%
18%
8%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 0
BEL
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
FCP
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
MOR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
PAÇ
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |