União de Leiria vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
UDL
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
UDL
52%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAR
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 4
FAT
14%
19%
68%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
5 - 1
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 2
FAT
13%
19%
69%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
FAT
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |