III Liga Grupo 2. Jor. 11

Unia Swarzędz vs Świt Skolwin analysis

Unia Swarzędz Świt Skolwin
32 ELO 48
-6.3% Tilt -4%
4903º General ELO ranking 3061º
88º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
10.9%
Unia Swarzędz
19.2%
Draw
70%
Świt Skolwin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
Unia Swarzędz
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
70%
Win probability
Świt Skolwin
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unia Swarzędz
+50%
+45%
Świt Skolwin

Points and table prediction

Unia Swarzędz
Their league position
Świt Skolwin
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
13º
10º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olimpia Grudziadz
76
76
100%
Pogoń Szczecin II
69
69
100%
Polonia Środa
64
64
100%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
62
62
100%
Gedania Gdansk
61
61
100%
Starogard Gdański
59
59
100%
Świt Skolwin
55
55
100%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
54
54
100%
Sokół Kleczew
47
47
100%
Unia Swarzędz
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Cartusia Kartuzy
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Stargard Szczeciński
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Stolem Gniewino
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Vineta Wolin
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Unia Solec Kujawski
16º
32
35
15º
83.5%
Jarota Jarocin
15º
33
33
16º
83.5%
Bałtyk Gdynia
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Unia Janikowo
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Unia Swarzędz
Świt Skolwin
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Unia Swarzędz
Świt Skolwin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unia Swarzędz
Unia Swarzędz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2022
STO
Stolem Gniewino
4 - 1
Unia Swarzędz
USW
57%
20%
23%
31 33 2 0
24 Sep. 2022
USW
Unia Swarzędz
1 - 3
Gedania Gdansk
GGD
22%
24%
54%
33 42 9 -2
17 Sep. 2022
OLI
Olimpia Grudziadz
2 - 2
Unia Swarzędz
USW
87%
10%
3%
32 55 23 +1
10 Sep. 2022
USW
Unia Swarzędz
0 - 0
Polonia Środa
PSR
47%
23%
30%
32 31 1 0
03 Sep. 2022
CAR
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 - 2
Unia Swarzędz
USW
39%
22%
39%
31 26 5 +1

Matches

Świt Skolwin
Świt Skolwin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2022
SKO
Świt Skolwin
6 - 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
NOW
58%
22%
20%
48 41 7 0
23 Sep. 2022
JAR
Jarota Jarocin
2 - 3
Świt Skolwin
SKO
15%
22%
64%
47 33 14 +1
17 Sep. 2022
SKO
Świt Skolwin
0 - 0
Vineta Wolin
VIN
78%
15%
7%
48 28 20 -1
10 Sep. 2022
SOK
Sokół Kleczew
2 - 2
Świt Skolwin
SKO
21%
24%
55%
48 38 10 0
02 Sep. 2022
SKO
Świt Skolwin
3 - 1
Unia Solec Kujawski
USK
85%
12%
3%
48 16 32 0
X