UNCG vs Belmont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNCG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
UNC
2 - 1
ETS
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
UNC
0 - 0
ETS
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
WFT
0 - 1
UNC
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UNC
3 - 2
BBR
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
VMI
0 - 4
UNC
6%
13%
81%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
FPD
1 - 3
BBR
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
MEB
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
BBR
0 - 3
FPD
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UNC
3 - 2
BBR
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
ETS
0 - 0
BBR
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |