Umm Salal vs Al-Ahli SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 0
ALS
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
SAD
6 - 0
UMM
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ADS
0 - 1
UMM
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 2
GHA
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
AHL
4 - 1
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
ADS
3 - 5
AHL
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
WAK
3 - 2
AHL
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AHL
0 - 4
RAY
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
AHL
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |