UMECIT vs Alianza II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
6º
18
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
UME
60%
25%
14%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
UME
1 - 3
PCF
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 0
UME
56%
26%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 0
ARA
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
AFC
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 1
AFC
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |