Ulaanbaatar City vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
8º
6º
68
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulaanbaatar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
DER
4 - 3
ULC
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ULC
1 - 6
SPF
62%
18%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KHC
1 - 2
ULC
14%
16%
70%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ULC
4 - 2
BCH
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ERC
4 - 3
ULC
47%
21%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
TBF
1 - 2
ULA
40%
21%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ULA
2 - 0
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 2
ULA
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ULA
1 - 1
KHC
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BCH
0 - 12
ULA
10%
15%
76%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |