Q. Europa League . Final
Global 2-3
Újpest FC vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
UJP
2 - 2
SAM
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
UJP
2 - 3
GYO
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
KLA
2 - 3
UJP
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
ZTE
1 - 2
UJP
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
UJP
6 - 0
KLA
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
HER
1 - 3
AGF
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
AGF
5 - 2
OBK
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
AAF
2 - 1
AGF
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
AGF
2 - 1
AKA
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
SIF
4 - 3
AGF
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |