CHAN Primera Ronda. Final
Global 7-2
Uganda vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
20.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.8%
1-0
19.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
<0%
0
15.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 3
UGA
4%
11%
85%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 1
SEN
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 2
EGY
16%
24%
61%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZWE
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
COD
0 - 2
UGA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 3
UGA
4%
11%
85%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 0
SOM
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
SSD
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NER
4 - 0
SOM
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 2
NER
19%
22%
58%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |