Uganda vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
UGA
2 - 2
KEN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
UGA
3 - 2
LBY
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
RWA
1 - 0
UGA
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1999 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
UGA
0 - 0
BDI
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
MWI
1 - 2
RWA
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1999 |
MWI
1 - 1
RWA
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
MWI
1 - 1
RWA
51%
26%
22%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
RWA
3 - 2
BDI
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1999 |
RWA
1 - 4
KEN
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |