Castelldefels vs Palamós analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
STB
25%
25%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
FIG
18%
24%
58%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COR
6 - 1
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Palamós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 4
MAN
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
STB
5 - 2
PAL
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FIG
3 - 1
PAL
82%
13%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 2
COR
23%
25%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |