Serie A Round 15

Udinese vs Lecce analysis

Udinese Lecce
86 ELO 79
-6.3% Tilt 10.2%
63º General ELO ranking 129º
13º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
58.9%
Udinese
22.5%
Draw
18.6%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
Udinese
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
Lecce
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Udinese
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Udinese
Udinese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2005
UDI
Udinese
0 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
11%
18%
71%
87 94 7 0
04 Dec. 2005
UDI
Udinese
0 - 2
Livorno
LIV
60%
22%
17%
87 79 8 0
30 Nov. 2005
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 0
Udinese
UDI
26%
27%
48%
87 79 8 0
27 Nov. 2005
PAR
Parma
1 - 2
Udinese
UDI
33%
26%
42%
87 83 4 0
22 Nov. 2005
PAN
Panathinaikos
1 - 2
Udinese
UDI
35%
26%
39%
87 83 4 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2005
LEC
Lecce
2 - 2
Roma
ROM
36%
26%
38%
78 86 8 0
26 Nov. 2005
ACM
Milan
2 - 1
Lecce
LEC
79%
14%
7%
78 93 15 0
20 Nov. 2005
LEC
Lecce
3 - 0
Siena
SIE
51%
24%
25%
77 79 2 +1
06 Nov. 2005
PAR
Parma
2 - 0
Lecce
LEC
55%
23%
22%
78 83 5 -1
30 Oct. 2005
LEC
Lecce
0 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
59%
22%
19%
78 77 1 0