Udinese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 1
UDI
42%
30%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
CAS
0 - 0
UDI
31%
30%
40%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 0
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
UDI
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
UDI
2 - 0
TAR
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
CES
0 - 0
VNZ
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
CES
1 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
REG
0 - 0
CES
52%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
PES
2 - 1
CES
50%
28%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |