UD Sur U19 vs Burgos U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
9º
46
6º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
81.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
43% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
78% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
COL
1 - 1
UDS
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
UDS
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
5 - 0
UDS
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
UDS
0 - 2
LEO
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VIC
2 - 2
UDS
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BUR
2 - 2
PON
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BUR
2 - 2
COL
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ZAM
1 - 0
BUR
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BUR
0 - 1
UNI
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
1 - 1
BUR
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |