UD San Fernando B vs Cercado de Espino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
CER
2 - 3
SFE
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SFE
4 - 1
AGU
57%
20%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SFE
1 - 1
VEC
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 8
SFE
21%
19%
60%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SFE
6 - 1
UCA
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cercado de Espino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
MAR
37%
20%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
UCA
12 - 0
CDE
74%
14%
12%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 4
DOR
30%
20%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
4 - 1
CDE
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 7
LON
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |