UD Pavía vs Churriana de la Vega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+151%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VAN
2 - 2
PAV
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PAV
1 - 2
NIJ
83%
12%
6%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAV
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PAV
1 - 1
CDE
30%
22%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
PAV
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Churriana de la Vega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHU
0 - 0
BAZ
20%
23%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CDV
2 - 0
CHU
32%
26%
43%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CHU
1 - 2
CDM
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 1
CHU
55%
23%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CHU
2 - 0
ORI
31%
25%
44%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |