UD Marinaleda vs Poli Aguadulce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
MSQ
0 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEB
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
SJO
1 - 1
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
BET
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
VIS
2 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Aguadulce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
AGU
0 - 3
SUE
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
UDR
4 - 2
AGU
36%
24%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
AGU
1 - 1
SMA
40%
26%
34%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SEV
1 - 0
AGU
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
AGU
0 - 2
UDT
33%
26%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |