UD Marinaleda vs Atletico Marchena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
MAR
70%
17%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIL
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
ESP
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Marchena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
FUT
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALJ
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
COR
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |