Lanzarote vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
TEL
3 - 0
LAN
51%
26%
23%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
LAN
2 - 0
GUI
70%
20%
11%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
GAL
1 - 4
LAN
52%
26%
22%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
LAN
4 - 1
CDP
72%
19%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
VSB
0 - 2
LAN
45%
28%
27%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CDS
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
MAR
2 - 0
TEL
54%
25%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
GUI
2 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
MAR
1 - 0
GAL
61%
23%
17%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
CDP
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |