Fuerteventura vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
70.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
DEP
3 - 2
UDF
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
UDF
1 - 1
FUE
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
PPJ
1 - 1
UDF
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
UDF
2 - 1
RSI
43%
29%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
2 - 0
UDF
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RMC
2 - 1
LAN
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 4
RMC
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RMC
4 - 0
CDO
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
VEC
3 - 2
RMC
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
RMC
0 - 1
RAY
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |