UD Fornacense vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPH
0 - 2
UDF
14%
18%
69%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
UCL
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 0
CDT
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 1
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
2 - 0
ADL
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
ADL
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ADL
0 - 1
HER
48%
25%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 2
ADL
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ADL
4 - 0
SPH
83%
13%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
2 - 0
ADL
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |