Esperanza vs Athletic Union Catarroja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
57.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ROV
1 - 1
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
CUL
20%
18%
62%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 2
ESP
77%
14%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALM
22%
19%
59%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
OLY
5 - 0
ESP
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Athletic Union Catarroja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
ALB
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
MAS
0 - 4
AUC
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
19 - 0
SUE
35%
17%
48%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 1
AUC
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
0 - 4
SIL
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |