UD Castros vs La Caridad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
+496%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SLC
6 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAL
16%
21%
64%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
HIS
2 - 3
CAS
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAS
53%
21%
27%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDP
1 - 3
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Caridad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
PUE
37%
23%
40%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
RVL
14%
18%
67%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 7
AVL
5%
11%
84%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SLC
3 - 2
CAR
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |