Benasal vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+267%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benasal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 0
BEN
79%
13%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 4
CAT
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
BEN
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 2
ATZ
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 2
ESP
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CIN
2 - 4
CLU
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ATZ
0 - 1
CIN
58%
21%
21%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
CAN
51%
20%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CIN
2 - 2
VIN
49%
22%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VAL
5 - 0
CIN
85%
10%
5%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |