Belen vs A. Peñafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+331%
+520%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
6 - 0
BEL
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 4
RUE
36%
21%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UDS
3 - 2
BEL
50%
20%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDR
3 - 2
BEL
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BEL
4 - 2
BOE
25%
24%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
18%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
AGU
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RUE
3 - 2
ATL
38%
21%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UDS
4 - 3
ATL
24%
20%
57%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
CDR
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |